Retrouvez plus d'informations sur la génération sous le tableau.
| Casting Cost (C = n'importe quel mana coloré) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Terrains "Colorés" | C | 1C | CC | 2C | 1CC | CCC | 3C | 2CC | 1CCC | CCCC | 4C | 3CC | 2CCC | 1CCCC | CCCCC | 5C | 4CC | 3CCC | 2CCCC | 1CCCCC | 6C | 5CC | 4CCC | 3CCCC | 2CCCCC | 7C | 6CC | 5CCC | 4CCCC | 3CCCCC |
| Synthèse | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nb sources | 15 | 14 | 22 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 11 | 17 | 22 | 25 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 21 |
| Détail | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 57.5% | 62.3% | 19% | 68.7% | 24.7% | 4.3% | 75.4% | 32.1% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 81.2% | 40.5% | 10.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 86% | 48.9% | 15.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 90% | 57.4% | 21.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 93% | 65.7% | 28.7% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| 7 | 63.6% | 68.5% | 24.8% | 74.9% | 31.8% | 7% | 81.2% | 40.6% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 86.3% | 49.9% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 90.6% | 59.2% | 23.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 93.8% | 68% | 31.5% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 95.9% | 75.6% | 40.3% | 12.6% | 2% |
| 8 | 69.3% | 74% | 30.8% | 80.1% | 39% | 10.3% | 85.9% | 48.7% | 15.7% | 2.7% | 90.4% | 59% | 23.2% | 5% | 0.5% | 93.8% | 68.4% | 32% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 96.2% | 76.6% | 42.1% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 97.7% | 83.5% | 52.2% | 20.7% | 4.6% |
| 9 | 74.1% | 78.6% | 37% | 84.4% | 46.1% | 14.2% | 89.5% | 56.5% | 21.3% | 4.4% | 93.3% | 66.9% | 30.6% | 8% | 1.1% | 95.9% | 76% | 41.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 97.7% | 83.4% | 52.5% | 20.9% | 4.9% | 98.7% | 89.2% | 63.3% | 30.2% | 8.6% |
| 10 | 78.4% | 82.5% | 43% | 87.8% | 53% | 18.7% | 92.3% | 64% | 27.5% | 6.8% | 95.5% | 74.1% | 38.6% | 12% | 2% | 97.5% | 82.4% | 50.6% | 19.6% | 4.4% | 98.7% | 88.8% | 62.4% | 29.3% | 8.3% | 99.4% | 93.2% | 73.1% | 40.6% | 14.4% |
| 11 | 82.2% | 85.9% | 48.9% | 90.7% | 59.4% | 23.7% | 94.5% | 70.5% | 34.3% | 9.7% | 97% | 80.1% | 46.7% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 98.5% | 87.5% | 59.5% | 26.7% | 7.1% | 99.3% | 92.7% | 71.3% | 38.6% | 13.2% | 99.7% | 96% | 81% | 51.8% | 21.9% |
| 12 | 85.3% | 88.7% | 54.9% | 93% | 65.5% | 29.1% | 96.2% | 76.3% | 41.2% | 13.3% | 98.1% | 85.1% | 54.8% | 22.5% | 5.4% | 99.1% | 91.3% | 67.9% | 34.6% | 10.8% | 99.6% | 95.4% | 78.9% | 48.3% | 19.2% | 99.9% | 97.8% | 87.3% | 62% | 30.4% |
| 13 | 88.1% | 91% | 60.3% | 94.8% | 71.1% | 34.7% | 97.4% | 81.4% | 48.3% | 17.6% | 98.8% | 89.1% | 62.6% | 28.9% | 8% | 99.5% | 94.3% | 75.3% | 43.3% | 15.4% | 99.8% | 97.3% | 85.1% | 57.9% | 26.7% | 99.9% | 98.9% | 92% | 71.5% | 40.3% |
| 14 | 90.5% | 93% | 65.5% | 96.2% | 76.2% | 40.8% | 98.2% | 85.7% | 55.4% | 22.5% | 99.3% | 92.5% | 69.7% | 36% | 11.1% | 99.7% | 96.5% | 81.8% | 51.8% | 21.1% | 99.9% | 98.5% | 90.1% | 67.2% | 35% | 100% | 99.5% | 95.2% | 79.8% | 51% |
| 15 | 92.5% | 94.6% | 70.3% | 97.3% | 80.7% | 46.7% | 98.9% | 89.4% | 62.1% | 28% | 99.6% | 94.9% | 76.4% | 43.4% | 15.3% | 99.9% | 97.8% | 87.1% | 60.5% | 28% | 100% | 99.2% | 93.8% | 75.3% | 44.1% | 100% | 99.8% | 97.5% | 86.6% | 61.2% |
| 16 | 94.2% | 96% | 74.8% | 98.2% | 84.8% | 52.7% | 99.3% | 92.4% | 68.6% | 33.8% | 99.8% | 96.8% | 82.2% | 51.4% | 20.1% | 99.9% | 98.8% | 91.3% | 68.7% | 35.5% | 100% | 99.6% | 96.4% | 82.6% | 53.9% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.7% | 91.8% | 70.8% |
| 17 | 95.6% | 97% | 79% | 98.8% | 88.1% | 58.7% | 99.6% | 94.7% | 74.7% | 40.2% | 99.9% | 98% | 87% | 59.1% | 25.6% | 100% | 99.4% | 94.5% | 76.3% | 43.9% | 100% | 99.9% | 98% | 88.4% | 63.5% | 100% | 100% | 99.5% | 95.2% | 79.8% |
| 18 | 96.8% | 97.9% | 82.6% | 99.3% | 91.1% | 64.5% | 99.8% | 96.5% | 80.3% | 46.9% | 100% | 98.9% | 91.1% | 66.9% | 32% | 100% | 99.7% | 96.8% | 82.9% | 52.8% | 100% | 99.9% | 99.1% | 92.9% | 72.8% | 100% | 100% | 99.8% | 97.7% | 87.2% |
| 19 | 97.7% | 98.5% | 86% | 99.5% | 93.5% | 70.2% | 99.9% | 97.9% | 85.1% | 53.8% | 100% | 99.5% | 94.3% | 74% | 39.2% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.3% | 88.6% | 61.8% | 100% | 100% | 99.6% | 96.1% | 80.7% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 99.1% | 92.6% |
| 20 | 98.4% | 99% | 89% | 99.8% | 95.6% | 75.5% | 100% | 98.8% | 89.4% | 60.8% | 100% | 99.8% | 96.6% | 80.9% | 46.7% | 100% | 100% | 99.2% | 93.1% | 70.7% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.2% | 87.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.7% | 96.3% |
| 21 | 99% | 99.4% | 91.5% | 99.9% | 97.1% | 80.6% | 100% | 99.4% | 93% | 67.8% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.3% | 86.9% | 55.1% | 100% | 100% | 99.8% | 96.2% | 79.1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.4% | 93.2% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.7% |
| 22 | 99.4% | 99.7% | 93.9% | 100% | 98.4% | 85.2% | 100% | 99.8% | 95.8% | 74.8% | 100% | 100% | 99.3% | 91.9% | 63.8% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 98.4% | 86.7% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.7% |
| 23 | 99.7% | 99.9% | 95.8% | 100% | 99.2% | 89.5% | 100% | 99.9% | 97.9% | 81.5% | 100% | 100% | 99.8% | 95.9% | 72.8% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.6% | 92.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.2% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 24 | 99.9% | 100% | 97.5% | 100% | 99.8% | 93.4% | 100% | 100% | 99.3% | 88.1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 98.6% | 81.8% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97.5% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 25 | 100% | 100% | 98.9% | 100% | 100% | 96.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 94.2% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 26 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Dans ces tables, chaque pourcentage veux dire:
"Combien de chance est-je d'avoir toutes les bon terrains pour lancer mon qui coûte N au tour N alors que j'ai N terrains quelconques ?"
Par conséquent, les mana death sont exclues de ces statistiques.
Le but de ces tables est vraiment d'optimiser les sources de mana pour les jeux multicolores et d'éviter au maximum les color death.
N'hésitez pas à allez voir les articles originaux (ci-dessous) avec les explications complètes (articles en anglais).
PS: il est donc normal d'avoir de meilleures probabilités d'avoir le nombre requis de bonnes sources de mana (par exemple 2 sur 8 sources possibles) sur un nombre total restreint terrains (par exemple 16), que sur un deck en ayant beaucoup (28)
Quelques détails sur l'algo:
- 1 million de "parties" par case du tableau afin d'avoir des statistique fiables
- "parties" veut dire ici: Commencer avec 7 cartes, puis piocher N - 1 cartes (on est sur le play), où N = Coût Converti du sort à lancer
- Mulligan: La règle du London Mulligan est appliquée si nécessaire (3 fois maximum)
- Mana death: Toute partie qui arrive tour N et qui n'a pas le nombre requis de terrains est exclue des statistiques
- Temps de calcul: Il a fallu plus de 15h sur un très bon pc pour générer toutes ces tables
- X %: Ratio N bon terrains sur N terrains quelconques au tour N
nombre de parties ayant les N bon terrains
X % = --------------------------------------------
nombre de parties ayant N terrains
Sources (anglais):
How Many Colored Mana Sources Do You Need to Consistently Cast Your Spells? A Guilds of Ravnica Update (2018)
Frank Analysis – How Many Colored Mana Sources Do You Need to Consistently Cast Your Spells? (2013)